Fitch Solutions have revised its 2021 average forecast for the Vietnamese dong to VND22,900 per US dollar from VND23,000 per US dollar previously and VND22,800 per US dollar from VND23,200 per US dollar in 2022 as the central bank tolerates...
The outlook for Viet Nam’s emerging liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector remains promising as the country’s need for the product is large to serve its power development plan, according to Fitch Solutions.
The average Vietnamese household will spend 20.8 per cent of their total household budget on food in 2025, marginally increasing from 20.1 per cent in 2005, according to global financial services provider Fitch Solutions.
Viet Nam’s current account surplus is forecast at 6.2 per cent of GDP in 2021 and will narrow over the coming decade as part of a general long-term narrowing trend.
Viet Nam’s current account surplus could narrow to 3.7 per cent in 2020 from 4.9 per cent last year due to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a report from Fitch Solutions.
More foreign participation is forecast in Viet Nam’s construction market over the coming years, buoyed by the gradual opening up of the Vietnamese economy to foreign investors and the Government’s emphasis on infrastructure development.
Viet Nam’s fiscal deficit (excluding debt principal repayments) would be 6.4 per cent of GDP in 2020, almost double of 3.4 per cent last year, Fitch Solutions forecast.
The State Bank of Viet Nam (SBV) is expected to further take monetary easing measures to support the country’s GDP growth target of above 5 per cent this year in light of a weak economic outlook, experts forecast.
Viet Nam’s 5G is forecast to have a bright future with Government and regulator support while domestic manufacturing of 5G handsets could lower device costs and lend tailwinds to adoption.
Viet Nam’s crude oil and natural gas production face downside risks, in light of a double-whammy of global oil price collapse and sluggish demand due to continued spread of COVID-19, according to Fitch Solutions.
Fitch Solutions revised down its 2020 real GDP growth forecast for Viet Nam to 6.3 per cent, from 6.8 per cent previously, in light of the worsening global Covid-19 outbreak.